Marseille vs Lorient

Sat 29 May, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 34 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Marseille win · Most likely 54.4%
Draw 23.7%
Lorient win 21.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 54%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 59%Avg 55%
Marseille clean sheet 31%Avg 30%
Lorient clean sheet 15%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 56%Avg 59%
Over 9.5 corners 43%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 71%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 50%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.9%
1-08.6%
2-08.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Marseille
  • Lorient

Did you know?

  • Marseille have lost to Lorient just once in their last 10 meetings.
  • Lorient have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Marseille beat Lorient 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Marseille have underscored their xG by 0.55 goals per game over their last 9. They have created more than the scoreline shows.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Apr 26 Lorient 2–0 Marseille
12 Sep 25 Marseille 4–0 Lorient
12 May 24 Marseille 3–1 Lorient
10 Dec 23 Lorient 2–4 Marseille
09 Apr 23 Lorient 0–0 Marseille
14 Jan 23 Marseille 3–1 Lorient
08 May 22 Lorient 0–3 Marseille
17 Oct 21 Marseille 4–1 Lorient
17 Apr 21 Marseille 3–2 Lorient
24 Oct 20 Lorient 0–1 Marseille
10meetings
  • Marseille win · 8 (80%)
  • Draw · 1 (10%)
  • Lorient win · 1 (10%)
Avg. total goals 3.40 League avg: 2.88
Over 2.5 goals 70% League avg: 55%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 54%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.30 League avg: 9.61
Avg. total cards 3.80 League avg: 3.80
Marseille avg. goals 2.50 League avg: 1.44
Lorient avg. goals 0.90 League avg: 1.44

Biggest win: Marseille 4–0 Lorient (12 Sep 25).

Marseille vs Lorient head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Marseille have won 8 times, Lorient have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Marseille scored 25 goals and Lorient scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Apr 2026, was won 2-0 by Lorient, at home against Marseille. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 10 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Marseille kept 4 clean sheets and Lorient kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Marseille Lorient
9 (1.5 avg) Goals 6 (1.0 avg)
71 (11.8 avg) Total Shots 60 (10.0 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 21 (3.5 avg)
18 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 10 (1.7 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Corners 15 (2.5 avg)
707 (117.8 avg) Attacks 423 (70.5 avg)
352 (58.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 208 (34.7 avg)
50 (8.3 avg) Key Passes 45 (7.5 avg)
3548 (591.3 avg) Passes 2911 (485.2 avg)
3152 (89%) Pass Accuracy 2468 (85%)
58% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Marseille Lorient
1 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
10 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 6 (1.0 avg)
82 (13.7 avg) Tackles 91 (15.2 avg)
63 (10.5 avg) Fouls 55 (9.2 avg)
7 (1.4 avg) Offsides 4 (0.7 avg)
256 (42.7 avg) Duels Won 314 (52.3 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 95 (15.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Marseille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Lorient

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)