Marseille vs Lyon

Sun 21 Mar, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 25 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Marseille win · Most likely 49.1%
Draw 24.2%
Lyon win 26.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 63%Avg 54%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 61%Avg 55%
Marseille clean sheet 26%Avg 30%
Lyon clean sheet 16%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 65%Avg 59%
Over 9.5 corners 52%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 55%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.5%
1-07.7%
2-07.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Marseille
  • Lyon

Did you know?

  • Lyon's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Lyon's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Marseille have underscored their xG by 0.55 goals per game over their last 9. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Lyon's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

All 15 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Mar 26 Marseille 3–2 Lyon
31 Aug 25 Lyon 1–0 Marseille
02 Feb 25 Marseille 3–2 Lyon
22 Sep 24 Lyon 2–3 Marseille
04 Feb 24 Lyon 1–0 Marseille
06 Dec 23 Marseille 3–0 Lyon
23 Apr 23 Lyon 1–2 Marseille
06 Nov 22 Marseille 1–0 Lyon
01 May 22 Marseille 0–3 Lyon
01 Feb 22 Lyon 2–1 Marseille
28 Feb 21 Marseille 1–1 Lyon
04 Oct 20 Lyon 1–1 Marseille
10 Nov 19 Marseille 2–1 Lyon
12 May 19 Marseille 0–3 Lyon
23 Sep 18 Lyon 4–2 Marseille
15meetings
  • Marseille win · 7 (47%)
  • Draw · 2 (13%)
  • Lyon win · 6 (40%)
Avg. total goals 3.07 League avg: 2.88
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 55%
Both teams to score 60% League avg: 54%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.60 League avg: 9.61
Avg. total cards 4.07 League avg: 3.80
Marseille avg. goals 1.47 League avg: 1.44
Lyon avg. goals 1.60 League avg: 1.44

Biggest win: Marseille 3–0 Lyon (06 Dec 23).

Marseille vs Lyon head to head: in the previous 15 meetings, Marseille have won 7 times, Lyon have won 6 times and 2 ended in a draw. Marseille scored 22 goals and Lyon scored 24 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Mar 2026, was won 3-2 by Marseille, at home against Lyon. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 15 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. Marseille kept 2 clean sheets and Lyon kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Marseille Lyon
9 (1.5 avg) Goals 11 (1.8 avg)
71 (11.8 avg) Total Shots 80 (13.3 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 30 (5.0 avg)
18 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (3.0 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Corners 29 (4.8 avg)
707 (117.8 avg) Attacks 512 (85.3 avg)
352 (58.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 235 (39.2 avg)
50 (8.3 avg) Key Passes 61 (10.2 avg)
3548 (591.3 avg) Passes 2816 (469.3 avg)
3152 (89%) Pass Accuracy 2404 (85%)
58% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Marseille Lyon
1 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
10 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 10 (1.7 avg)
82 (13.7 avg) Tackles 93 (15.5 avg)
63 (10.5 avg) Fouls 71 (11.8 avg)
7 (1.4 avg) Offsides 11 (1.8 avg)
256 (42.7 avg) Duels Won 244 (40.7 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 49 (8.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Marseille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Lyon

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)