PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior

Sat 12 Dec, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

PEC Zwolle win · Most likely 39.0%
Draw 27.4%
Excelsior win 33.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 63%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 61%
PEC Zwolle clean sheet 23%Avg 25%
Excelsior clean sheet 20%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 57%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 44%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 56%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 33%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.7%
1-06.4%
2-05.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • PEC Zwolle
  • Excelsior

Did you know?

  • Excelsior's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Excelsior's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Excelsior have gone 7 matches without a win.
  • Excelsior have conceded in each of their last 7 matches.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
12 Apr 26 PEC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior
20 Dec 25 Excelsior 2–1 PEC Zwolle
06 Apr 24 PEC Zwolle 2–1 Excelsior
22 Oct 23 Excelsior 2–4 PEC Zwolle
4meetings
  • PEC Zwolle win · 2 (50%)
  • Draw · 1 (25%)
  • Excelsior win · 1 (25%)
Avg. total goals 4.00 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 7.75 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 2.00 League avg: 3.14
PEC Zwolle avg. goals 2.25 League avg: 1.61
Excelsior avg. goals 1.75 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: Excelsior 2–4 PEC Zwolle (22 Oct 23).

PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 2 times, Excelsior have won once and 1 ended in a draw. PEC Zwolle scored 9 goals and Excelsior scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 12 Apr 2026, ended 2-2 at PEC Zwolle. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 4 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

PEC Zwolle
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
Excelsior
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    43% 16th of 18 46% 14th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 18th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 11th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 2nd of 18 26% of xG 3rd of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    18% of shots 7th of 18 17% of shots 8th of 18

Where they differ

  • Excelsior wait for better chances than PEC Zwolle, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

PEC Zwolle Excelsior
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 12 (1.2 avg)
140 (14.0 avg) Total Shots 88 (8.8 avg)
46 (4.6 avg) Shots on Target 29 (2.9 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 28 (2.8 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 30 (3.0 avg)
892 (89.2 avg) Attacks 706 (78.4 avg)
495 (49.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 325 (36.1 avg)
106 (10.6 avg) Key Passes 62 (6.2 avg)
3802 (380.2 avg) Passes 3863 (386.3 avg)
2925 (77%) Pass Accuracy 3055 (79%)
44% Ball Possession 41%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

PEC Zwolle Excelsior
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (1.4 avg)
164 (16.4 avg) Tackles 137 (13.7 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 113 (11.3 avg)
14 (1.8 avg) Offsides 6 (0.7 avg)
460 (46.0 avg) Duels Won 407 (40.7 avg)
149 (14.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 146 (14.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

PEC Zwolle

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Excelsior

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)