RB Leipzig vs Mainz

Sat 05 Dec, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 12 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

RB Leipzig win · Most likely 55.9%
Draw 20.2%
Mainz win 23.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 74%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 91%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 77%Avg 62%
RB Leipzig clean sheet 19%Avg 26%
Mainz clean sheet 9%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 66%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 54%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 73%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 52%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.2%
3-16.6%
3-25.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • RB Leipzig
  • Mainz

Did you know?

  • RB Leipzig's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • RB Leipzig beat Mainz 8-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • RB Leipzig's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • RB Leipzig have won 8 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
31 Jan 26 RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz
13 Sep 25 Mainz 0–1 RB Leipzig
01 Mar 25 RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz
19 Oct 24 Mainz 0–2 RB Leipzig
30 Mar 24 RB Leipzig 0–0 Mainz
04 Nov 23 Mainz 2–0 RB Leipzig
01 Apr 23 RB Leipzig 0–3 Mainz
08 Oct 22 Mainz 1–1 RB Leipzig
08 Jan 22 RB Leipzig 4–1 Mainz
15 Aug 21 Mainz 1–0 RB Leipzig
23 Jan 21 Mainz 3–2 RB Leipzig
20 Sep 20 RB Leipzig 3–1 Mainz
24 May 20 Mainz 0–5 RB Leipzig
02 Nov 19 RB Leipzig 8–0 Mainz
03 May 19 Mainz 3–3 RB Leipzig
16 Dec 18 RB Leipzig 4–1 Mainz
16meetings
  • RB Leipzig win · 7 (44%)
  • Draw · 3 (19%)
  • Mainz win · 6 (38%)
Avg. total goals 3.44 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 62% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 44% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.38 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 3.75 League avg: 3.82
RB Leipzig avg. goals 2.19 League avg: 1.60
Mainz avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: RB Leipzig 8–0 Mainz (02 Nov 19).

RB Leipzig vs Mainz head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, RB Leipzig have won 7 times, Mainz have won 6 times and 3 ended in a draw. RB Leipzig scored 35 goals and Mainz scored 20 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 31 Jan 2026, was won 2-1 by Mainz, away at RB Leipzig. Across these matches, both teams scored in 8 of 16 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. RB Leipzig kept 5 clean sheets and Mainz kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

RB Leipzig Mainz
16 (2.7 avg) Goals 14 (2.3 avg)
107 (17.8 avg) Total Shots 106 (17.7 avg)
39 (6.5 avg) Shots on Target 36 (6.0 avg)
28 (4.7 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (4.3 avg)
33 (5.5 avg) Corners 29 (4.8 avg)
640 (106.7 avg) Attacks 628 (104.7 avg)
274 (45.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 318 (53.0 avg)
80 (13.3 avg) Key Passes 81 (13.5 avg)
3055 (509.2 avg) Passes 2676 (446.0 avg)
2651 (87%) Pass Accuracy 2139 (80%)
53% Ball Possession 51%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

RB Leipzig Mainz
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
6 (1.0 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (2.3 avg)
89 (14.8 avg) Tackles 102 (17.0 avg)
59 (9.8 avg) Fouls 83 (13.8 avg)
5 (0.8 avg) Offsides 12 (2.0 avg)
285 (47.5 avg) Duels Won 315 (52.5 avg)
54 (9.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 124 (20.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

RB Leipzig

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)