Stuttgart vs Mainz

Sat 16 Jan, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Stuttgart win · Most likely 48.0%
Draw 22.3%
Mainz win 29.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 72%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 89%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 72%Avg 62%
Stuttgart clean sheet 19%Avg 26%
Mainz clean sheet 12%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 69%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 57%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 60%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.5%
3-15.8%
2-05.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Stuttgart
  • Mainz

Did you know?

  • Stuttgart's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Stuttgart have underscored their xG by 0.53 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Both teams have scored in 10 of the last 14 meetings between these two.
  • Stuttgart have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 14 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
07 Mar 26 Mainz 2–2 Stuttgart
26 Oct 25 Stuttgart 2–1 Mainz
25 Jan 25 Mainz 2–0 Stuttgart
31 Aug 24 Stuttgart 3–3 Mainz
11 Feb 24 Stuttgart 3–1 Mainz
16 Sep 23 Mainz 1–3 Stuttgart
21 May 23 Mainz 1–4 Stuttgart
21 Jan 23 Stuttgart 1–1 Mainz
16 Apr 22 Mainz 0–0 Stuttgart
26 Nov 21 Stuttgart 2–1 Mainz
29 Jan 21 Stuttgart 2–0 Mainz
26 Sep 20 Mainz 1–4 Stuttgart
19 Jan 19 Stuttgart 2–3 Mainz
26 Aug 18 Mainz 1–0 Stuttgart
14meetings
  • Stuttgart win · 7 (50%)
  • Draw · 4 (29%)
  • Mainz win · 3 (21%)
Avg. total goals 3.29 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 64% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 71% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 43% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.71 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 4.29 League avg: 3.82
Stuttgart avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.60
Mainz avg. goals 1.29 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Mainz 1–4 Stuttgart (21 May 23).

Stuttgart vs Mainz head to head: in the previous 14 meetings, Stuttgart have won 7 times, Mainz have won 3 times and 4 ended in a draw. Stuttgart scored 28 goals and Mainz scored 18 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Mar 2026, ended 2-2 at Mainz. Across these matches, both teams scored in 10 of 14 and 9 had over 2.5 goals. Stuttgart kept 2 clean sheets and Mainz kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Stuttgart Mainz
8 (1.3 avg) Goals 14 (2.3 avg)
103 (17.2 avg) Total Shots 106 (17.7 avg)
35 (5.8 avg) Shots on Target 36 (6.0 avg)
27 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (4.3 avg)
40 (6.7 avg) Corners 29 (4.8 avg)
673 (112.2 avg) Attacks 628 (104.7 avg)
304 (50.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 318 (53.0 avg)
79 (13.2 avg) Key Passes 81 (13.5 avg)
3030 (505.0 avg) Passes 2676 (446.0 avg)
2529 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2139 (80%)
54% Ball Possession 51%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Stuttgart Mainz
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
6 (1.0 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (2.3 avg)
84 (14.0 avg) Tackles 102 (17.0 avg)
59 (9.8 avg) Fouls 83 (13.8 avg)
8 (1.6 avg) Offsides 12 (2.0 avg)
300 (50.0 avg) Duels Won 315 (52.5 avg)
112 (18.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 124 (20.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Stuttgart

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)