Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Sun 16 May, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 36 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Atletico Madrid win · Most likely 62.5%
Draw 21.5%
Rayo Vallecano win 16.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 60%Avg 50%
Atletico Madrid clean sheet 36%Avg 30%
Rayo Vallecano clean sheet 12%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 74%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 63%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 87%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 73%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-110.1%
2-09.6%
1-09.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Atletico Madrid
  • Rayo Vallecano

Did you know?

  • Rayo Vallecano's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Rayo Vallecano have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Rayo Vallecano have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Rayo Vallecano beat Atletico Madrid 0-7 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

All 12 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Feb 26 Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atletico Madrid
24 Sep 25 Atletico Madrid 3–2 Rayo Vallecano
24 Apr 25 Atletico Madrid 3–0 Rayo Vallecano
22 Sep 24 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Atletico Madrid
31 Jan 24 Atletico Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano
28 Aug 23 Rayo Vallecano 0–7 Atletico Madrid
09 Apr 23 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Atletico Madrid
18 Oct 22 Atletico Madrid 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
19 Mar 22 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Atletico Madrid
02 Jan 22 Atletico Madrid 2–0 Rayo Vallecano
16 Feb 19 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Atletico Madrid
25 Aug 18 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
12meetings
  • Atletico Madrid win · 9 (75%)
  • Draw · 2 (17%)
  • Rayo Vallecano win · 1 (8%)
Avg. total goals 2.75 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 42% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.25 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 2.83 League avg: 4.63
Atletico Madrid avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.36
Rayo Vallecano avg. goals 0.75 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Rayo Vallecano 0–7 Atletico Madrid (28 Aug 23).

Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano head to head: in the previous 12 meetings, Atletico Madrid have won 9 times, Rayo Vallecano have won once and 2 ended in a draw. Atletico Madrid scored 24 goals and Rayo Vallecano scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Feb 2026, was won 3-0 by Rayo Vallecano, at home against Atletico Madrid. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 12 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Atletico Madrid kept 6 clean sheets and Rayo Vallecano kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Atletico Madrid Rayo Vallecano
19 (2.1 avg) Goals 11 (1.6 avg)
158 (17.6 avg) Total Shots 94 (13.4 avg)
58 (6.4 avg) Shots on Target 32 (4.6 avg)
48 (5.3 avg) Blocked Shots 23 (3.3 avg)
57 (6.3 avg) Corners 37 (5.3 avg)
1054 (117.1 avg) Attacks 570 (81.4 avg)
507 (56.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 272 (38.9 avg)
127 (14.1 avg) Key Passes 65 (9.3 avg)
5321 (591.2 avg) Passes 2671 (381.6 avg)
4692 (88%) Pass Accuracy 2153 (81%)
60% Ball Possession 49%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Atletico Madrid Rayo Vallecano
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.3 avg)
20 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (2.4 avg)
150 (16.7 avg) Tackles 122 (17.4 avg)
110 (12.2 avg) Fouls 94 (13.4 avg)
18 (2.0 avg) Offsides 7 (1.0 avg)
427 (47.4 avg) Duels Won 334 (47.7 avg)
93 (10.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 76 (10.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Atletico Madrid

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Rayo Vallecano

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 9 (90%)
  • No · 1 (10%)