Brest vs Marseille

Sat 02 Jan, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 15 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Brest win · Most likely 45.6%
Draw 24.1%
Marseille win 30.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 66%Avg 54%
Over 1.5 goals 84%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 63%Avg 55%
Brest clean sheet 23%Avg 30%
Marseille clean sheet 16%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 60%Avg 59%
Over 9.5 corners 47%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 73%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.1%
1-06.7%
2-06.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Brest
  • Marseille

Did you know?

  • Brest have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Brest have underscored their xG by 0.68 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Brest have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Brest beat Marseille 1-5 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

All 13 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
20 Feb 26 Brest 2–0 Marseille
08 Nov 25 Marseille 3–0 Brest
27 Apr 25 Marseille 4–1 Brest
17 Aug 24 Brest 1–5 Marseille
18 Feb 24 Brest 1–0 Marseille
26 Aug 23 Marseille 2–0 Brest
27 May 23 Marseille 1–2 Brest
14 Aug 22 Brest 1–1 Marseille
13 Mar 22 Brest 1–4 Marseille
04 Dec 21 Marseille 1–2 Brest
13 Mar 21 Marseille 3–1 Brest
30 Aug 20 Brest 2–3 Marseille
29 Nov 19 Marseille 2–1 Brest
13meetings
  • Brest win · 4 (31%)
  • Draw · 1 (8%)
  • Marseille win · 8 (62%)
Avg. total goals 3.38 League avg: 2.88
Over 2.5 goals 69% League avg: 55%
Both teams to score 69% League avg: 54%
Whoever hosts wins 54% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 8.15 League avg: 9.61
Avg. total cards 3.92 League avg: 3.80
Brest avg. goals 1.15 League avg: 1.44
Marseille avg. goals 2.23 League avg: 1.44

Biggest win: Brest 1–5 Marseille (17 Aug 24).

Brest vs Marseille head to head: in the previous 13 meetings, Brest have won 4 times, Marseille have won 8 times and 1 ended in a draw. Brest scored 15 goals and Marseille scored 29 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 20 Feb 2026, was won 2-0 by Brest, at home against Marseille. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 13 and 9 had over 2.5 goals. Brest kept 2 clean sheets and Marseille kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Brest Marseille
12 (2.0 avg) Goals 9 (1.5 avg)
115 (19.2 avg) Total Shots 71 (11.8 avg)
38 (6.3 avg) Shots on Target 26 (4.3 avg)
21 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (3.0 avg)
32 (5.3 avg) Corners 26 (4.3 avg)
522 (87.0 avg) Attacks 707 (117.8 avg)
237 (39.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 352 (58.7 avg)
77 (12.8 avg) Key Passes 50 (8.3 avg)
2549 (424.8 avg) Passes 3548 (591.3 avg)
2092 (82%) Pass Accuracy 3152 (89%)
48% Ball Possession 58%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Brest Marseille
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
7 (1.2 avg) Yellow Cards 10 (1.7 avg)
105 (17.5 avg) Tackles 82 (13.7 avg)
80 (13.3 avg) Fouls 63 (10.5 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 7 (1.4 avg)
323 (53.8 avg) Duels Won 256 (42.7 avg)
110 (18.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 72 (12.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Brest

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Marseille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)