Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard

Fri 22 Jan, 19:00 UTC · Matchweek 20 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Excelsior win · Most likely 39.9%
Draw 28.3%
Fortuna Sittard win 31.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 55%Avg 61%
Excelsior clean sheet 26%Avg 25%
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet 22%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 36%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 24%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 66%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 44%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.8%
1-07.4%
2-06.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Excelsior
  • Fortuna Sittard

Did you know?

  • Fortuna Sittard have scored in 8 consecutive matches.
  • Fortuna Sittard have outscored their xG by 0.76 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Excelsior's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Excelsior's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Oct 26 Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Excelsior
20 Feb 26 Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Excelsior
19 Oct 25 Excelsior 1–0 Fortuna Sittard
03 Mar 24 Fortuna Sittard 5–2 Excelsior
26 Aug 23 Excelsior 2–2 Fortuna Sittard
21 May 23 Excelsior 3–0 Fortuna Sittard
17 Sep 22 Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Excelsior
7meetings
  • Excelsior win · 2 (29%)
  • Draw · 1 (14%)
  • Fortuna Sittard win · 4 (57%)
Avg. total goals 2.86 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 57% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 43% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 86% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 7.43 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 3.71 League avg: 3.14
Excelsior avg. goals 1.29 League avg: 1.61
Fortuna Sittard avg. goals 1.57 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: Fortuna Sittard 5–2 Excelsior (03 Mar 24).

Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Excelsior have won 2 times, Fortuna Sittard have won 4 times and 1 ended in a draw. Excelsior scored 9 goals and Fortuna Sittard scored 11 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Oct 2026, was won 1-0 by Fortuna Sittard, at home against Excelsior. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 7 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Excelsior kept 2 clean sheets and Fortuna Sittard kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Excelsior
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
Fortuna Sittard
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 14th of 18 39% 18th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 11th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    26% of xG 3rd of 18 19% of xG 11th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 8th of 18 16% of shots 11th of 18

Where they differ

  • Excelsior get more of their chances from set pieces than Fortuna Sittard, 26% against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Excelsior Fortuna Sittard
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
88 (8.8 avg) Total Shots 100 (10.0 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Shots on Target 42 (4.2 avg)
28 (2.8 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (2.5 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Corners 28 (2.8 avg)
706 (78.4 avg) Attacks 653 (72.6 avg)
325 (36.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 275 (30.6 avg)
62 (6.2 avg) Key Passes 76 (7.6 avg)
3863 (386.3 avg) Passes 3336 (333.6 avg)
3055 (79%) Pass Accuracy 2581 (77%)
41% Ball Possession 37%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Excelsior Fortuna Sittard
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.5 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Tackles 138 (13.8 avg)
113 (11.3 avg) Fouls 104 (10.4 avg)
6 (0.7 avg) Offsides 13 (1.4 avg)
407 (40.7 avg) Duels Won 423 (42.3 avg)
146 (14.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 124 (12.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Excelsior

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Fortuna Sittard

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)