Excelsior vs Heerenveen

Sat 27 Feb, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 24 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Excelsior win 29.0%
Draw 27.1%
Heerenveen win · Most likely 43.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 61%
Excelsior clean sheet 19%Avg 25%
Heerenveen clean sheet 26%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 56%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 43%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 52%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 30%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.2%
0-17.0%
0-26.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Excelsior
  • Heerenveen

Did you know?

  • Excelsior's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Excelsior's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Excelsior have gone 7 matches without a win.
  • Excelsior have conceded in each of their last 7 matches.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
16 Oct 26 Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior
07 Mar 26 Excelsior 1–2 Heerenveen
04 Oct 25 Heerenveen 2–1 Excelsior
19 Jan 24 Excelsior 3–0 Heerenveen
23 Sep 23 Heerenveen 0–3 Excelsior
13 May 23 Heerenveen 0–0 Excelsior
05 Nov 22 Excelsior 0–1 Heerenveen
7meetings
  • Excelsior win · 2 (29%)
  • Draw · 1 (14%)
  • Heerenveen win · 4 (57%)
Avg. total goals 2.43 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 71% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 29% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 43% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.29 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 3.14 League avg: 3.14
Excelsior avg. goals 1.14 League avg: 1.61
Heerenveen avg. goals 1.29 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior (16 Oct 26).

Excelsior vs Heerenveen head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Excelsior have won 2 times, Heerenveen have won 4 times and 1 ended in a draw. Excelsior scored 8 goals and Heerenveen scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 16 Oct 2026, was won 4-0 by Heerenveen, at home against Excelsior. Heerenveen have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 7 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Excelsior kept 3 clean sheets and Heerenveen kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Excelsior
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
Heerenveen
  • Open play side
  • Plays on the floor
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 14th of 18 51% 8th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 11th of 18 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    26% of xG 3rd of 18 14% of xG 18th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 8th of 18 11% of shots 18th of 18

Where they differ

  • Excelsior get more of their chances from set pieces than Heerenveen, 26% against 14%.
  • Excelsior go more through the air than Heerenveen, 17% of shots against 11%.
  • Heerenveen wait for better chances than Excelsior, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Excelsior Heerenveen
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 18 (1.8 avg)
88 (8.8 avg) Total Shots 154 (15.4 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Shots on Target 57 (5.7 avg)
28 (2.8 avg) Blocked Shots 40 (4.0 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Corners 49 (4.9 avg)
706 (78.4 avg) Attacks 886 (88.6 avg)
325 (36.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 514 (51.4 avg)
62 (6.2 avg) Key Passes 129 (12.9 avg)
3863 (386.3 avg) Passes 4694 (469.4 avg)
3055 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3973 (85%)
41% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Excelsior Heerenveen
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Yellow Cards 10 (1.0 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Tackles 119 (11.9 avg)
113 (11.3 avg) Fouls 85 (8.5 avg)
6 (0.7 avg) Offsides 12 (1.3 avg)
407 (40.7 avg) Duels Won 412 (41.2 avg)
146 (14.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 108 (10.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Excelsior

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Heerenveen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)