Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen

Sat 13 Mar, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Excelsior win 27.8%
Draw 26.3%
NEC Nijmegen win · Most likely 45.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 63%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 85%
Over 2.5 goals 59%Avg 61%
Excelsior clean sheet 17%Avg 25%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet 26%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 62%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 49%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 66%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 45%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.3%
0-17.1%
0-26.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Excelsior
  • NEC Nijmegen

Did you know?

  • Excelsior have gone 8 matches without a win.
  • Excelsior have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • NEC Nijmegen beat Excelsior 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • NEC Nijmegen's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
08 Sep 26 NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior
04 Apr 26 Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen
09 Aug 25 NEC Nijmegen 5–0 Excelsior
06 May 24 Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen
13 Aug 23 NEC Nijmegen 3–4 Excelsior
19 Feb 23 Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen
08 Oct 22 NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Excelsior
7meetings
  • Excelsior win · 1 (14%)
  • Draw · 2 (29%)
  • NEC Nijmegen win · 4 (57%)
Avg. total goals 3.71 League avg: 3.23
Over 2.5 goals 71% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 43% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 14% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.86 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 3.43 League avg: 3.14
Excelsior avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.62
NEC Nijmegen avg. goals 2.71 League avg: 1.62

Biggest win: NEC Nijmegen 5–0 Excelsior (09 Aug 25).

Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Excelsior have won once, NEC Nijmegen have won 4 times and 2 ended in a draw. Excelsior scored 7 goals and NEC Nijmegen scored 19 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 8 Sep 2026, ended 2-2 at NEC Nijmegen. NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 7 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. NEC Nijmegen kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Excelsior
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
NEC Nijmegen
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 14th of 18 57% 2nd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 11th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 13th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    27% of xG 3rd of 18 18% of xG 15th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 4th of 18 17% of shots 9th of 18

Where they differ

  • NEC Nijmegen see much more of the ball than Excelsior, 57% against 46%.
  • Excelsior get more of their chances from set pieces than NEC Nijmegen, 27% against 18%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Excelsior NEC Nijmegen
11 (1.1 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
97 (9.7 avg) Total Shots 154 (15.4 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Shots on Target 45 (4.5 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Blocked Shots 41 (4.1 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 57 (5.7 avg)
697 (77.4 avg) Attacks 892 (89.2 avg)
318 (35.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 512 (51.2 avg)
68 (6.8 avg) Key Passes 128 (12.8 avg)
3887 (388.7 avg) Passes 4890 (489.0 avg)
3071 (79%) Pass Accuracy 4009 (82%)
41% Ball Possession 59%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Excelsior NEC Nijmegen
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (1.4 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Tackles 158 (15.8 avg)
110 (11.0 avg) Fouls 106 (10.6 avg)
6 (0.7 avg) Offsides 19 (1.9 avg)
420 (42.0 avg) Duels Won 483 (48.3 avg)
150 (15.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 148 (14.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Excelsior

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

NEC Nijmegen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)