Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen

Sat 13 Mar, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Excelsior win 27.1%
Draw 25.8%
NEC Nijmegen win · Most likely 47.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 63%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 60%Avg 62%
Excelsior clean sheet 17%Avg 25%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet 26%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 62%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 49%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 66%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 45%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.3%
0-16.9%
0-26.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Excelsior
  • NEC Nijmegen

Did you know?

  • Excelsior have gone 8 matches without a win.
  • Excelsior have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • NEC Nijmegen beat Excelsior 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • NEC Nijmegen's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
08 Sep 26 NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior
04 Apr 26 Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen
09 Aug 25 NEC Nijmegen 5–0 Excelsior
06 May 24 Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen
13 Aug 23 NEC Nijmegen 3–4 Excelsior
19 Feb 23 Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen
08 Oct 22 NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Excelsior
7meetings
  • Excelsior win · 1 (14%)
  • Draw · 2 (29%)
  • NEC Nijmegen win · 4 (57%)
Avg. total goals 3.71 League avg: 3.25
Over 2.5 goals 71% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 43% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 14% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.86 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 3.43 League avg: 3.14
Excelsior avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.62
NEC Nijmegen avg. goals 2.71 League avg: 1.62

Biggest win: NEC Nijmegen 5–0 Excelsior (09 Aug 25).

Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Excelsior have won once, NEC Nijmegen have won 4 times and 2 ended in a draw. Excelsior scored 7 goals and NEC Nijmegen scored 19 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 8 Sep 2026, ended 2-2 at NEC Nijmegen. NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 7 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. NEC Nijmegen kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Excelsior
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
NEC Nijmegen
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 13th of 18 58% 2nd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 10th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 12th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    27% of xG 3rd of 18 18% of xG 14th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 4th of 18 19% of shots 5th of 18

Where they differ

  • Excelsior get more of their chances from set pieces than NEC Nijmegen, 27% against 18%.
  • NEC Nijmegen see much more of the ball than Excelsior, 58% against 46%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Excelsior NEC Nijmegen
11 (1.1 avg) Goals 15 (1.5 avg)
97 (9.7 avg) Total Shots 149 (14.9 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Shots on Target 42 (4.2 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Blocked Shots 38 (3.8 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 63 (6.3 avg)
697 (77.4 avg) Attacks 877 (87.7 avg)
318 (35.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 481 (48.1 avg)
68 (6.8 avg) Key Passes 124 (12.4 avg)
3887 (388.7 avg) Passes 4700 (470.0 avg)
3071 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3804 (81%)
41% Ball Possession 57%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Excelsior NEC Nijmegen
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (1.7 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Tackles 156 (15.6 avg)
110 (11.0 avg) Fouls 103 (10.3 avg)
6 (0.7 avg) Offsides 17 (1.7 avg)
420 (42.0 avg) Duels Won 490 (49.0 avg)
150 (15.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 153 (15.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Excelsior

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

NEC Nijmegen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)