Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen

Sat 06 Mar, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 25 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Sittard win 30.7%
Draw 26.1%
NEC Nijmegen win · Most likely 43.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 65%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 83%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 61%Avg 62%
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet 18%Avg 25%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet 23%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 69%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 56%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 69%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 48%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.0%
0-16.4%
0-26.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Fortuna Sittard
  • NEC Nijmegen

Did you know?

  • Fortuna Sittard have scored in 9 consecutive matches.
  • NEC Nijmegen have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Fortuna Sittard have outscored their xG by 0.64 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • NEC Nijmegen's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

11meetings
  • Fortuna Sittard win · 3 (27%)
  • Draw · 4 (36%)
  • NEC Nijmegen win · 4 (36%)
Avg. total goals 3.45 League avg: 3.25
Over 2.5 goals 64% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 82% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 27% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.27 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 3.91 League avg: 3.14
Fortuna Sittard avg. goals 1.36 League avg: 1.62
NEC Nijmegen avg. goals 2.09 League avg: 1.62

Biggest win: NEC Nijmegen 4–1 Fortuna Sittard (19 Jan 25).

Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Fortuna Sittard have won 3 times, NEC Nijmegen have won 4 times and 4 ended in a draw. Fortuna Sittard scored 15 goals and NEC Nijmegen scored 23 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Oct 2026, ended 2-2 at NEC Nijmegen. Fortuna Sittard are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 11 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Fortuna Sittard kept 1 clean sheet and NEC Nijmegen kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Fortuna Sittard
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
NEC Nijmegen
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    39% 18th of 18 58% 2nd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 17th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 12th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 5th of 18 18% of xG 14th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 10th of 18 19% of shots 5th of 18

Where they differ

  • NEC Nijmegen see much more of the ball than Fortuna Sittard, 58% against 39%.
  • Fortuna Sittard get more of their chances from set pieces than NEC Nijmegen, 22% against 18%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Fortuna Sittard NEC Nijmegen
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 15 (1.5 avg)
93 (9.3 avg) Total Shots 149 (14.9 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Shots on Target 42 (4.2 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Blocked Shots 38 (3.8 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Corners 63 (6.3 avg)
632 (70.2 avg) Attacks 877 (87.7 avg)
259 (28.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 481 (48.1 avg)
67 (6.7 avg) Key Passes 124 (12.4 avg)
3417 (341.7 avg) Passes 4699 (469.9 avg)
2674 (78%) Pass Accuracy 3803 (81%)
38% Ball Possession 57%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Fortuna Sittard NEC Nijmegen
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
17 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (1.7 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Tackles 156 (15.6 avg)
111 (11.1 avg) Fouls 103 (10.3 avg)
13 (1.4 avg) Offsides 17 (1.7 avg)
421 (42.1 avg) Duels Won 490 (49.0 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 153 (15.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Fortuna Sittard

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

NEC Nijmegen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)