Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard

Sat 13 Mar, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Heerenveen win · Most likely 56.4%
Draw 24.1%
Fortuna Sittard win 19.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 63%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 60%Avg 61%
Heerenveen clean sheet 32%Avg 25%
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet 14%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 51%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 38%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 65%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 43%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.9%
2-08.5%
1-08.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Heerenveen
  • Fortuna Sittard

Did you know?

  • Fortuna Sittard have scored in 9 consecutive matches.
  • Fortuna Sittard have outscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Whoever has hosted has won 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two.
  • Fortuna Sittard are unbeaten in their last 6 matches.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Apr 26 Heerenveen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard
08 Nov 25 Fortuna Sittard 2–0 Heerenveen
01 Feb 25 Heerenveen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard
02 Nov 24 Fortuna Sittard 3–0 Heerenveen
03 Feb 24 Fortuna Sittard 3–3 Heerenveen
25 Nov 23 Heerenveen 3–0 Fortuna Sittard
25 Jan 23 Fortuna Sittard 2–0 Heerenveen
27 Aug 22 Heerenveen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard
05 Feb 22 Fortuna Sittard 2–0 Heerenveen
18 Sep 21 Heerenveen 1–0 Fortuna Sittard
10meetings
  • Heerenveen win · 4 (40%)
  • Draw · 2 (20%)
  • Fortuna Sittard win · 4 (40%)
Avg. total goals 2.90 League avg: 3.25
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 40% League avg: 63%
Whoever hosts wins 80% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.40 League avg: 10.26
Avg. total cards 2.80 League avg: 3.18
Heerenveen avg. goals 1.30 League avg: 1.63
Fortuna Sittard avg. goals 1.60 League avg: 1.63

Biggest win: Fortuna Sittard 3–0 Heerenveen (02 Nov 24).

Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Heerenveen have won 4 times, Fortuna Sittard have won 4 times and 2 ended in a draw. Heerenveen scored 13 goals and Fortuna Sittard scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Apr 2026, was won 2-1 by Heerenveen, at home against Fortuna Sittard. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 10 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Heerenveen kept 2 clean sheets and Fortuna Sittard kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Heerenveen
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
  • Selective shooters
Fortuna Sittard
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    51% 8th of 18 39% 18th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 18 0.09 xG a shot 17th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    14% of xG 17th of 18 22% of xG 5th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    11% of shots 18th of 18 17% of shots 10th of 18

Where they differ

  • Heerenveen wait for better chances than Fortuna Sittard, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Fortuna Sittard get more of their chances from set pieces than Heerenveen, 22% against 14%.
  • Heerenveen see much more of the ball than Fortuna Sittard, 51% against 39%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Heerenveen Fortuna Sittard
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 15 (1.5 avg)
158 (15.8 avg) Total Shots 93 (9.3 avg)
58 (5.8 avg) Shots on Target 39 (3.9 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Blocked Shots 20 (2.0 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 26 (2.6 avg)
910 (91.0 avg) Attacks 632 (70.2 avg)
545 (54.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 259 (28.8 avg)
132 (13.2 avg) Key Passes 67 (6.7 avg)
4721 (472.1 avg) Passes 3417 (341.7 avg)
3982 (84%) Pass Accuracy 2674 (78%)
52% Ball Possession 38%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Heerenveen Fortuna Sittard
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
10 (1.0 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (1.7 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Tackles 137 (13.7 avg)
84 (8.4 avg) Fouls 111 (11.1 avg)
9 (1.0 avg) Offsides 13 (1.4 avg)
409 (40.9 avg) Duels Won 421 (42.1 avg)
109 (10.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 117 (11.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Heerenveen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Fortuna Sittard

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)