Heerenveen vs Willem II

Sat 20 Feb, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Heerenveen win · Most likely 63.9%
Draw 20.8%
Willem II win 15.3%

Limited history for Willem II. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 86%Avg 85%
Over 2.5 goals 66%Avg 61%
Heerenveen clean sheet 32%Avg 25%
Willem II clean sheet 10%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 63%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 50%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 57%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 34%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.6%
2-08.5%
3-17.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Heerenveen
  • Willem II

Did you know?

  • Willem II have won just 0 of their last 10 matches.
  • Willem II have gone 10 matches without a win.
  • Willem II have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Willem II have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
30 Aug 26 Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen
04 Apr 25 Heerenveen 3–1 Willem II
08 Dec 24 Willem II 1–2 Heerenveen
05 Mar 22 Willem II 0–0 Heerenveen
21 Nov 21 Heerenveen 2–1 Willem II
5meetings
  • Heerenveen win · 3 (60%)
  • Draw · 2 (40%)
  • Willem II win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.80 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 80% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 80% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 40% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 12.00 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 3.20 League avg: 3.14
Heerenveen avg. goals 1.80 League avg: 1.61
Willem II avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: Heerenveen 3–1 Willem II (04 Apr 25).

Heerenveen vs Willem II head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Heerenveen have won 3 times, Willem II have not won and 2 ended in a draw. Heerenveen scored 9 goals and Willem II scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 30 Aug 2026, ended 2-2 at Willem II. Heerenveen are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 5 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Heerenveen kept 1 clean sheet and Willem II kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Heerenveen
  • Open play side
  • Plays on the floor
  • Selective shooters
Willem II
  • Cedes possession
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    51% 8th of 18 41% 17th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 18 0.10 xG a shot 15th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    14% of xG 18th of 18 21% of xG 8th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    11% of shots 18th of 18 20% of shots 2nd of 18

Where they differ

  • Willem II go more through the air than Heerenveen, 20% of shots against 11%.
  • Heerenveen wait for better chances than Willem II, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.10.
  • Willem II get more of their chances from set pieces than Heerenveen, 21% against 14%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Heerenveen Willem II
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Total Shots 111 (11.1 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Shots on Target 30 (3.0 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Blocked Shots 32 (3.2 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Corners 48 (4.8 avg)
886 (88.6 avg) Attacks 724 (72.4 avg)
514 (51.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 311 (31.1 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Key Passes 80 (8.0 avg)
4694 (469.4 avg) Passes 3776 (377.6 avg)
3973 (85%) Pass Accuracy 2951 (78%)
52% Ball Possession 42%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Heerenveen Willem II
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
10 (1.0 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.5 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Tackles 150 (15.0 avg)
85 (8.5 avg) Fouls 94 (9.4 avg)
12 (1.3 avg) Offsides 11 (1.6 avg)
412 (41.2 avg) Duels Won 457 (45.7 avg)
108 (10.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 160 (16.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Heerenveen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Willem II

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)