Marseille vs Brest

Sat 10 Apr, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Marseille win · Most likely 57.4%
Draw 21.8%
Brest win 20.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 64%Avg 54%
Over 1.5 goals 85%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 65%Avg 55%
Marseille clean sheet 28%Avg 30%
Brest clean sheet 12%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 59%Avg 59%
Over 9.5 corners 46%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.7%
2-07.6%
1-07.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Marseille
  • Brest

Did you know?

  • Brest have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Brest have underscored their xG by 0.68 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Brest have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Brest have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 13 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
20 Feb 26 Brest 2–0 Marseille
08 Nov 25 Marseille 3–0 Brest
27 Apr 25 Marseille 4–1 Brest
17 Aug 24 Brest 1–5 Marseille
18 Feb 24 Brest 1–0 Marseille
26 Aug 23 Marseille 2–0 Brest
27 May 23 Marseille 1–2 Brest
14 Aug 22 Brest 1–1 Marseille
13 Mar 22 Brest 1–4 Marseille
04 Dec 21 Marseille 1–2 Brest
13 Mar 21 Marseille 3–1 Brest
30 Aug 20 Brest 2–3 Marseille
29 Nov 19 Marseille 2–1 Brest
13meetings
  • Marseille win · 8 (62%)
  • Draw · 1 (8%)
  • Brest win · 4 (31%)
Avg. total goals 3.38 League avg: 2.88
Over 2.5 goals 69% League avg: 55%
Both teams to score 69% League avg: 54%
Whoever hosts wins 54% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 8.15 League avg: 9.61
Avg. total cards 3.92 League avg: 3.80
Marseille avg. goals 2.23 League avg: 1.44
Brest avg. goals 1.15 League avg: 1.44

Biggest win: Brest 1–5 Marseille (17 Aug 24).

Marseille vs Brest head to head: in the previous 13 meetings, Marseille have won 8 times, Brest have won 4 times and 1 ended in a draw. Marseille scored 29 goals and Brest scored 15 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 20 Feb 2026, was won 2-0 by Brest, at home against Marseille. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 13 and 9 had over 2.5 goals. Marseille kept 2 clean sheets and Brest kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Marseille Brest
9 (1.5 avg) Goals 12 (2.0 avg)
71 (11.8 avg) Total Shots 115 (19.2 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 38 (6.3 avg)
18 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 21 (3.5 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Corners 32 (5.3 avg)
707 (117.8 avg) Attacks 522 (87.0 avg)
352 (58.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 237 (39.5 avg)
50 (8.3 avg) Key Passes 77 (12.8 avg)
3548 (591.3 avg) Passes 2549 (424.8 avg)
3152 (89%) Pass Accuracy 2092 (82%)
58% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Marseille Brest
1 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
10 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 7 (1.2 avg)
82 (13.7 avg) Tackles 105 (17.5 avg)
63 (10.5 avg) Fouls 80 (13.3 avg)
7 (1.4 avg) Offsides 12 (2.0 avg)
256 (42.7 avg) Duels Won 323 (53.8 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 110 (18.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Marseille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Brest

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)