NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax

Sat 20 Mar, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

NEC Nijmegen win 34.4%
Draw 25.3%
Ajax win · Most likely 40.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 69%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 86%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 67%Avg 61%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet 16%Avg 25%
Ajax clean sheet 19%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 81%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 71%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 62%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 39%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.3%
0-24.9%
1-34.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • NEC Nijmegen
  • Ajax

Did you know?

  • NEC Nijmegen have gone 8 matches without a win.
  • NEC Nijmegen have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Ajax have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Ajax beat NEC Nijmegen 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

All 11 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
10 Oct 26 Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen
21 Feb 26 Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen
20 Dec 25 NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Ajax
11 May 25 Ajax 0–3 NEC Nijmegen
01 Dec 24 NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Ajax
18 Feb 24 Ajax 2–2 NEC Nijmegen
03 Dec 23 NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Ajax
05 Mar 23 Ajax 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
08 Jan 23 NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Ajax
23 Apr 22 NEC Nijmegen 0–1 Ajax
14 Aug 21 Ajax 5–0 NEC Nijmegen
11meetings
  • NEC Nijmegen win · 1 (9%)
  • Draw · 5 (45%)
  • Ajax win · 5 (45%)
Avg. total goals 2.73 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 55% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 64% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 18% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.55 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 3.55 League avg: 3.14
NEC Nijmegen avg. goals 1.09 League avg: 1.61
Ajax avg. goals 1.64 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: Ajax 5–0 NEC Nijmegen (14 Aug 21).

NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, NEC Nijmegen have won once, Ajax have won 5 times and 5 ended in a draw. NEC Nijmegen scored 12 goals and Ajax scored 18 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 Oct 2026, ended 1-1 at Ajax. NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 11 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. NEC Nijmegen kept 1 clean sheet and Ajax kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

NEC Nijmegen
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
  • Shoots on sight
Ajax
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    57% 2nd of 18 57% 3rd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 13th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 10th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    18% of xG 14th of 18 18% of xG 12th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 9th of 18 13% of shots 16th of 18

Where they differ

  • NEC Nijmegen go more through the air than Ajax, 17% of shots against 13%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

NEC Nijmegen Ajax
16 (1.6 avg) Goals 28 (2.8 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Total Shots 205 (20.5 avg)
45 (4.5 avg) Shots on Target 72 (7.2 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Blocked Shots 51 (5.1 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Corners 58 (5.8 avg)
892 (89.2 avg) Attacks 849 (84.9 avg)
512 (51.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 492 (49.2 avg)
128 (12.8 avg) Key Passes 161 (16.1 avg)
4890 (489.0 avg) Passes 5801 (580.1 avg)
4009 (82%) Pass Accuracy 5137 (89%)
59% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

NEC Nijmegen Ajax
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (1.9 avg)
158 (15.8 avg) Tackles 137 (13.7 avg)
106 (10.6 avg) Fouls 95 (9.5 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Offsides 18 (1.8 avg)
483 (48.3 avg) Duels Won 439 (43.9 avg)
148 (14.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 117 (11.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

NEC Nijmegen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Ajax

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)