Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid

Sun 03 Jan, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 18 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Rayo Vallecano win 35.3%
Draw 28.2%
Atletico Madrid win · Most likely 36.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 55%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 73%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 50%
Rayo Vallecano clean sheet 26%Avg 30%
Atletico Madrid clean sheet 27%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 78%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 68%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 86%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 71%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-19.3%
1-28.3%
0-26.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Rayo Vallecano
  • Atletico Madrid

Did you know?

  • Rayo Vallecano's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Rayo Vallecano have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Rayo Vallecano have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Rayo Vallecano beat Atletico Madrid 0-7 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

12meetings
  • Rayo Vallecano win · 1 (8%)
  • Draw · 2 (17%)
  • Atletico Madrid win · 9 (75%)
Avg. total goals 2.75 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 42% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.25 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 2.83 League avg: 4.63
Rayo Vallecano avg. goals 0.75 League avg: 1.36
Atletico Madrid avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Rayo Vallecano 0–7 Atletico Madrid (28 Aug 23).

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid head to head: in the previous 12 meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won once, Atletico Madrid have won 9 times and 2 ended in a draw. Rayo Vallecano scored 9 goals and Atletico Madrid scored 24 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Feb 2026, was won 3-0 by Rayo Vallecano, at home against Atletico Madrid. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 12 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Rayo Vallecano kept 1 clean sheet and Atletico Madrid kept 6.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Rayo Vallecano Atletico Madrid
11 (1.6 avg) Goals 19 (2.1 avg)
94 (13.4 avg) Total Shots 158 (17.6 avg)
32 (4.6 avg) Shots on Target 58 (6.4 avg)
23 (3.3 avg) Blocked Shots 48 (5.3 avg)
37 (5.3 avg) Corners 57 (6.3 avg)
570 (81.4 avg) Attacks 1054 (117.1 avg)
272 (38.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 507 (56.3 avg)
65 (9.3 avg) Key Passes 127 (14.1 avg)
2671 (381.6 avg) Passes 5321 (591.2 avg)
2153 (81%) Pass Accuracy 4692 (88%)
49% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Rayo Vallecano Atletico Madrid
2 (0.3 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
17 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.2 avg)
122 (17.4 avg) Tackles 150 (16.7 avg)
94 (13.4 avg) Fouls 110 (12.2 avg)
7 (1.0 avg) Offsides 18 (2.0 avg)
334 (47.7 avg) Duels Won 427 (47.4 avg)
76 (10.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 93 (10.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Rayo Vallecano

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 9 (90%)
  • No · 1 (10%)

Atletico Madrid

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)