Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
Real Madrid
Wed 27 Jan, 20:00 UTC · Matchday 8 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Limited history for Shakhtar Donetsk. Fewer past Champions League matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Shakhtar Donetsk
- Real Madrid
Did you know?
- Real Madrid have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
- Shakhtar Donetsk have picked up 2.7 cards per game over their last 10, well above the league average of 1.3.
- Real Madrid's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
- Real Madrid's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
H2H
These two have not met in the Champions League in the stored history, which goes back to 2024/25.
How they play
Each line runs across the 25 clubs of the competition, from up to the last 19 competition games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.
- Shoots on sight
- Plays on the floor
Real Madrid
- Open play side
- Selective shooters
- Plays on the floor
-
Shot selectionShoots on sightWaits for the chance
0.10 xG a shot 21st of 25 0.13 xG a shot 6th of 25 -
Set piecesOpen playSet pieces
21% of xG 11th of 25 14% of xG 23rd of 25 -
Route to goalOn the groundCrosses and headers
12% of shots 18th of 25 12% of shots 20th of 25
Where they differ
- Real Madrid wait for better chances than Shakhtar Donetsk, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.10.
- Shakhtar Donetsk get more of their chances from set pieces than Real Madrid, 21% against 14%.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Real Madrid
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Real Madrid
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Yes · 1 (10%)
- No · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 8 (80%)
- No · 2 (20%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (38%)
- Over · 5 (62%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 3 (38%)
- Over · 5 (62%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 5 (62%)
- Over · 3 (38%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 2 (22%)
- Over · 7 (78%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (33%)
- Over · 6 (67%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 5 (56%)
- Over · 4 (44%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
Shakhtar Donetsk
Previous 10 Matches
WLWDLLDWLL-
03 Nov 26 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Sporting CP 0–1 L
-
21 Oct 26 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Inter
0–1
L
-
14 Oct 26 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
AEK Athens 3–1 W
-
10 Sep 26 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
PSV Eindhoven 1–1 D
-
07 May 26 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Crystal Palace
1–2
L
-
30 Apr 26 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Crystal Palace
1–3
L
-
16 Apr 26 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
AZ Alkmaar 2–2 D
-
09 Apr 26 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
AZ Alkmaar 3–0 W
-
19 Mar 26 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Lech Poznan 1–2 L
-
12 Mar 26 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Lech Poznan 3–1 W
Previous 10 Matches
LWLWDLWLWL-
03 Nov 26 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Sporting CP 0–1 L
-
14 Oct 26 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
AEK Athens 3–1 W
-
30 Apr 26 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Crystal Palace
1–3
L
-
09 Apr 26 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
AZ Alkmaar 3–0 W
-
19 Mar 26 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Lech Poznan 1–2 L
-
18 Dec 25 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Rijeka 0–0 D
-
06 Nov 25 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Breidablik 2–0 W
-
23 Oct 25 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Legia Warsaw 1–2 L
-
22 Jan 25 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Brest
2–0
W
-
10 Dec 24 H Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Bayern Munich
1–5
L
Previous 10 Matches
LLWWWWDLDL-
21 Oct 26 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Inter
0–1
L
-
10 Sep 26 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
PSV Eindhoven 1–1 D
-
07 May 26 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Crystal Palace
1–2
L
-
16 Apr 26 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
AZ Alkmaar 2–2 D
-
12 Mar 26 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Lech Poznan 3–1 W
-
11 Dec 25 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Hamrun Spartans 2–0 W
-
27 Nov 25 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Shamrock Rovers 2–1 W
-
02 Oct 25 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Aberdeen 3–2 W
-
29 Jan 25 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
Borussia Dortmund
1–3
L
-
27 Nov 24 A Shakhtar Donetsk vs
PSV Eindhoven 2–3 L
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 10)
21st in the league phase · 4 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall* | WLWDLLDWLL | 1.10 |
| Home* | LWLWDLWLWL | 1.30 |
| Away* | LLWWWWDLDL | 1.40 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 42% | 33% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.83 | 2.83 | 2.83 |
| Scored/game | 1.38 | 1.33 | 1.42 |
| Conceded/game | 1.46 | 1.50 | 1.42 |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| xG/game | 1.21 | 1.12 | 1.30 |
| xG against/game | 1.37 | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| npxG/game | 1.11 | 0.99 | 1.24 |
| Led at half-time | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Real Madrid
Previous 10 Matches
WLWWWWWWWW-
07 Nov 26 A Real Madrid vs
Valencia
3–0
W
-
04 Nov 26 A Real Madrid vs
AEK Athens 3–2 W
-
01 Nov 26 A Real Madrid vs
Racing Santander 3–0 W
-
25 Oct 26 A Real Madrid vs
Barcelona
2–1
W
-
21 Oct 26 H Real Madrid vs
RB Leipzig
4–1
W
-
18 Oct 26 H Real Madrid vs
Sevilla
4–1
W
-
14 Oct 26 A Real Madrid vs
Roma
4–3
W
-
10 Oct 26 H Real Madrid vs
Villarreal
1–0
W
-
20 Sep 26 A Real Madrid vs
Atletico Madrid
1–2
L
-
15 Sep 26 A Real Madrid vs
Elche
3–2
W
Previous 10 Matches
WWWWWWWWWW-
21 Oct 26 H Real Madrid vs
RB Leipzig
4–1
W
-
18 Oct 26 H Real Madrid vs
Sevilla
4–1
W
-
10 Oct 26 H Real Madrid vs
Villarreal
1–0
W
-
12 Sep 26 H Real Madrid vs
Rayo Vallecano
4–1
W
-
08 Sep 26 H Real Madrid vs
Inter
2–1
W
-
30 Aug 26 H Real Madrid vs
Malaga 4–0 W
-
26 Aug 26 H Real Madrid vs
Real Sociedad
4–1
W
-
23 May 26 H Real Madrid vs
Athletic Bilbao
4–2
W
-
14 May 26 H Real Madrid vs
Real Oviedo 2–0 W
-
21 Apr 26 H Real Madrid vs
Alaves
2–1
W
Previous 10 Matches
WWLWLWWWWW-
07 Nov 26 A Real Madrid vs
Valencia
3–0
W
-
04 Nov 26 A Real Madrid vs
AEK Athens 3–2 W
-
01 Nov 26 A Real Madrid vs
Racing Santander 3–0 W
-
25 Oct 26 A Real Madrid vs
Barcelona
2–1
W
-
14 Oct 26 A Real Madrid vs
Roma
4–3
W
-
20 Sep 26 A Real Madrid vs
Atletico Madrid
1–2
L
-
15 Sep 26 A Real Madrid vs
Elche
3–2
W
-
04 Sep 26 A Real Madrid vs
Real Betis
0–1
L
-
22 Aug 26 A Real Madrid vs
Espanyol
2–1
W
-
17 May 26 A Real Madrid vs
Sevilla
1–0
W
Form & stats (Last 10)
2nd in the league phase · 12 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWLLWWWW | 2.40 |
| Home | LWWLWWWLWW | 2.10 |
| Away | LWLWLWWLWW | 1.80 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 68% | 76% | 59% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.95 | 3.03 | 2.87 |
| Scored/game | 2.02 | 2.25 | 1.79 |
| Conceded/game | 0.93 | 0.78 | 1.08 |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 51% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 39% | 45% | 34% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 11% | 16% |
| xG/game | 2.06 | 2.30 | 1.83 |
| xG against/game | 1.15 | 1.02 | 1.29 |
| npxG/game | 1.87 | 2.09 | 1.64 |
| Deep completions/game | 10.0 | 11.4 | 8.5 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 11.3 | 10.7 | 11.9 |
| Led at half-time | 42% | 48% | 37% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 28% | 40% | 18% |
League standings
Shakhtar Donetsk are 21st with 4 points. Real Madrid are 2nd with 12 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Arsenal |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 | Como |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 | Barcelona |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 | Aston Villa |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 | Man City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 | |
| 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 | |
| 11 | Real Betis |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 | Bayern Munich |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 | Stuttgart |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 | Inter |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 | |
| 17 | Man United |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 6 |
| 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | |
| 19 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 | |
| 20 | Roma |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 4 | |
| 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 | |
| 23 | Atletico Madrid |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | |
| 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | |
| 27 | Napoli |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 | Villarreal |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 | RB Leipzig |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | |
| 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | |
| 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 | |
| 33 | Lens |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 | |
| 35 | Lille |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for Shakhtar Donetsk yet.
No expected XI available for Real Madrid yet.
Out / doubtful
- Raúl Asencio Injured · Leg injury (back 2027-01-10)
- Rodrygo Injured · Cruciate ligament injury (back 2026-12-31)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Shakhtar Donetsk
- G. Mendoza 100 2 3
- V. Tobias 100 1 4
- Pedrinho 10– 1 2
Real Madrid
- Kylian Mbappé ––1 12 11
- Jude Bellingham ––1 4 10
- Yan Diomande ––0 3 11
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Shakhtar Donetsk
- Alisson 101 2 4
- G. Mendoza 100 2 3
- Pedrinho 11– 2 2
Real Madrid
- Kylian Mbappé ––3 30 11
- Arda Güler ––– 10 11
- Jude Bellingham ––1 10 10
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Shakhtar Donetsk
- K. Elias 125 8 4
- Alisson 103 8 4
- P. Henrique 202 5 4
Real Madrid
- Kylian Mbappé ––7 58 11
- Arda Güler ––– 23 11
- Jude Bellingham ––3 23 10
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Shakhtar Donetsk
- M. Gomes 110 3Y 4
- V. Bondar 000 1Y 4
- P. Henrique 000 1Y 4
Real Madrid
- Dean Huijsen ––– 2Y 1R 9
- Vinicius Junior ––0 2Y 1R 8
- Ibrahima Konaté ––– 3Y 10
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Shakhtar Donetsk
- M. Gomes 322 10 4
- K. Elias 231 6 4
- O. Ocheretko 410 6 4
Real Madrid
- Ibrahima Konaté ––– 11 10
- Marc Cucurella ––5 11 7
- Yan Diomande ––0 10 11
Most tackles
Tackles made
Real Madrid
- Marc Cucurella ––4 27 7
- Jude Bellingham ––2 22 10
- Yan Diomande ––2 15 11
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Shakhtar Donetsk
- P. Henrique 324 14 4
- V. Tobias 310 5 4
- O. Ocheretko 410 5 4
Real Madrid
- Dean Huijsen ––– 15 9
- Aurélien Tchouaméni ––– 15 6
- Federico Valverde ––0 12 10
Duels won
Challenges won
Real Madrid
- Jude Bellingham ––7 86 10
- Yan Diomande ––6 63 11
- Kylian Mbappé ––3 56 11
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Real Madrid
- Dean Huijsen ––– 9 9
- Ibrahima Konaté ––– 7 10
- Marc Cucurella ––0 6 7
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Shakhtar Donetsk
- V. Tobias 121 5 4
- P. Henrique 211 4 4
- M. Gomes 011 4 4
Real Madrid
- Arda Güler ––– 39 11
- Jude Bellingham ––2 22 10
- Kylian Mbappé ––2 19 11
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Real Madrid
Team Over 3.5 Shots on Target
100.0%
-
2
Real Madrid
Odd Number of Goals
100.0%
-
3
Real Madrid
To Score
100.0%
-
4
Real Madrid
Over 8.5 Shots on Target in the Match
90.0%
-
5
Real Madrid
Over 7.5 Corners in the Match
90.0%
-
1
KM
Kylian Mbappé
Over 2.5 Shots
90.0%
-
2
KM
Kylian Mbappé
Over 0.5 Shots on Target
90.0%
-
3
YD
Yan Diomande
Over 1.5 Tackles
80.0%
-
4
VB
V. Bondar Over 0.5 Fouls Committed 80.0%
-
5
AL
Andriy Lunin
Over 2.5 Saves
70.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
6 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Paris Saint-Germain
Arsenal
Como
Aston Villa
Man City
Liverpool
Stuttgart
Man United
Napoli
Lens
Lille