Excelsior vs Cambuur

Sat 01 May, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 31 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Excelsior win · Most likely 39.5%
Draw 27.2%
Cambuur win 33.3%

Limited history for Cambuur. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 85%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 61%
Excelsior clean sheet 24%Avg 25%
Cambuur clean sheet 21%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 58%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 45%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 61%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 39%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.7%
1-06.8%
2-05.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Excelsior
  • Cambuur

Did you know?

  • Excelsior have gone 8 matches without a win.
  • Excelsior have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Cambuur have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Cambuur have outscored their xG by 0.82 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
07 Aug 26 Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior
19 Mar 23 Excelsior 4–1 Cambuur
06 Aug 22 Cambuur 0–2 Excelsior
3meetings
  • Excelsior win · 3 (100%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Cambuur win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 3.67 League avg: 3.23
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 12.33 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 1.33 League avg: 3.14
Excelsior avg. goals 3.33 League avg: 1.61
Cambuur avg. goals 0.33 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior (07 Aug 26).

Excelsior vs Cambuur head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Excelsior have won 3 times, Cambuur have not won and none ended in a draw. Excelsior scored 10 goals and Cambuur scored 1 goal in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Aug 2026, was won 4-0 by Excelsior, away at Cambuur. Excelsior have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 3 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Excelsior kept 2 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Excelsior
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
Cambuur
  • Shoots on sight
  • Open play side
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 14th of 18 47% 11th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 11th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 14th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    27% of xG 3rd of 18 18% of xG 14th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 4th of 18 15% of shots 13th of 18

Where they differ

  • Excelsior get more of their chances from set pieces than Cambuur, 27% against 18%.
  • Excelsior go more through the air than Cambuur, 19% of shots against 15%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Excelsior Cambuur
11 (1.1 avg) Goals 23 (2.3 avg)
97 (9.7 avg) Total Shots 130 (13.0 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Shots on Target 55 (5.5 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Blocked Shots 32 (3.2 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 40 (4.0 avg)
697 (77.4 avg) Attacks 755 (83.9 avg)
318 (35.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 386 (42.9 avg)
68 (6.8 avg) Key Passes 100 (10.0 avg)
3887 (388.7 avg) Passes 3717 (371.7 avg)
3071 (79%) Pass Accuracy 2927 (79%)
41% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Excelsior Cambuur
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (1.9 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Tackles 170 (17.0 avg)
110 (11.0 avg) Fouls 125 (12.5 avg)
6 (0.7 avg) Offsides 17 (2.1 avg)
420 (42.0 avg) Duels Won 540 (54.0 avg)
150 (15.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 146 (14.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Excelsior

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Cambuur

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)