Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid

Sun 04 Apr, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 30 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Real Madrid win · Most likely 60.2%
Draw 22.0%
Atletico Madrid win 17.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 59%Avg 50%
Real Madrid clean sheet 35%Avg 29%
Atletico Madrid clean sheet 13%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 84%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 75%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 82%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 65%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-110.1%
1-09.5%
2-09.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Real Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid

Did you know?

  • Atletico Madrid's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Real Madrid have won 9 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Real Madrid have won 8 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
  • Atletico Madrid's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

17meetings
  • Real Madrid win · 6 (35%)
  • Draw · 7 (41%)
  • Atletico Madrid win · 4 (24%)
Avg. total goals 2.47 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 35% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 65% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 47% League avg: 47%
Avg. total corners 9.47 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 5.82 League avg: 4.63
Real Madrid avg. goals 1.29 League avg: 1.36
Atletico Madrid avg. goals 1.18 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Atletico Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid (27 Sep 25).

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid head to head: in the previous 17 meetings, Real Madrid have won 6 times, Atletico Madrid have won 4 times and 7 ended in a draw. Real Madrid scored 22 goals and Atletico Madrid scored 20 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 20 Sep 2026, was won 2-1 by Atletico Madrid, at home against Real Madrid. Across these matches, both teams scored in 11 of 17 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Real Madrid kept 5 clean sheets and Atletico Madrid kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Real Madrid Atletico Madrid
19 (2.4 avg) Goals 19 (2.1 avg)
143 (17.9 avg) Total Shots 158 (17.6 avg)
57 (7.1 avg) Shots on Target 58 (6.4 avg)
36 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 48 (5.3 avg)
57 (7.1 avg) Corners 57 (6.3 avg)
818 (102.2 avg) Attacks 1054 (117.1 avg)
473 (59.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 507 (56.3 avg)
123 (15.4 avg) Key Passes 127 (14.1 avg)
4091 (511.4 avg) Passes 5321 (591.2 avg)
3679 (90%) Pass Accuracy 4692 (88%)
52% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Real Madrid Atletico Madrid
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
17 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.2 avg)
124 (15.5 avg) Tackles 150 (16.7 avg)
67 (8.4 avg) Fouls 110 (12.2 avg)
16 (2.0 avg) Offsides 18 (2.0 avg)
403 (50.4 avg) Duels Won 427 (47.4 avg)
56 (7.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 93 (10.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Real Madrid

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Atletico Madrid

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)