AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven

Sat 05 Dec, 19:00 UTC · Matchweek 15 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

AZ Alkmaar win 36.6%
Draw 25.5%
PSV Eindhoven win · Most likely 37.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 69%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 86%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 66%Avg 61%
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet 18%Avg 25%
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet 18%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 84%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 75%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 61%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 38%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.1%
0-24.7%
0-14.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • AZ Alkmaar
  • PSV Eindhoven

Did you know?

  • PSV Eindhoven's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • PSV Eindhoven have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • PSV Eindhoven have outscored their xG by 0.82 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 meetings.

H2H

10meetings
  • AZ Alkmaar win · 2 (20%)
  • Draw · 1 (10%)
  • PSV Eindhoven win · 7 (70%)
Avg. total goals 3.60 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 90% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 70% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 20% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.60 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 3.60 League avg: 3.14
AZ Alkmaar avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.61
PSV Eindhoven avg. goals 2.60 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: AZ Alkmaar 1–5 PSV Eindhoven (09 Nov 25).

AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 2 times, PSV Eindhoven have won 7 times and 1 ended in a draw. AZ Alkmaar scored 10 goals and PSV Eindhoven scored 26 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Mar 2026, was won 2-1 by PSV Eindhoven, at home against AZ Alkmaar. PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 10 and 9 had over 2.5 goals. AZ Alkmaar kept 1 clean sheet and PSV Eindhoven kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

AZ Alkmaar
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
PSV Eindhoven
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    57% 5th of 18 60% 1st of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 6th of 18 0.13 xG a shot 1st of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    20% of xG 9th of 18 19% of xG 10th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    12% of shots 17th of 18 21% of shots 1st of 18

Where they differ

  • PSV Eindhoven go more through the air than AZ Alkmaar, 21% of shots against 12%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 33 (3.3 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Total Shots 195 (19.5 avg)
65 (6.5 avg) Shots on Target 74 (7.4 avg)
45 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 46 (4.6 avg)
74 (7.4 avg) Corners 67 (6.7 avg)
842 (93.6 avg) Attacks 808 (89.8 avg)
566 (62.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 495 (55.0 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Key Passes 144 (14.4 avg)
5313 (531.3 avg) Passes 5571 (557.1 avg)
4593 (86%) Pass Accuracy 4907 (88%)
58% Ball Possession 59%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 175 (17.5 avg)
127 (12.7 avg) Fouls 98 (9.8 avg)
16 (1.8 avg) Offsides 19 (2.1 avg)
494 (49.4 avg) Duels Won 379 (37.9 avg)
116 (11.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 92 (9.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

AZ Alkmaar

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

PSV Eindhoven

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)