Paris Saint-Germain vs Roma

Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTC · Matchday 5 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Paris Saint-Germain win · Most likely 76.1%

Draw 13.3%

Roma win 10.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 58%

Over 1.5 goals 90%Avg 84%

Over 2.5 goals 75%Avg 69%

Paris Saint-Germain clean sheet 34%Avg 28%

Roma clean sheet 6%Avg 18%

Over 8.5 corners 59%Avg 58%

Over 9.5 corners 46%Avg 44%

Over 2.5 cards 67%Avg 66%

Over 3.5 cards 45%Avg 49%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.4%

3-18.1%

2-07.9%

Team comparison

Paris Saint-Germain
Roma

Did you know?

Paris Saint-Germain's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
Paris Saint-Germain have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
Paris Saint-Germain have outscored their xG by 1.17 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.

H2H

These two have not met in the Champions League in the stored history, which goes back to 2024/25.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

20 (5.0 avg) Goals 10 (2.5 avg)

94 (23.5 avg) Total Shots 55 (13.8 avg)

50 (12.5 avg) Shots on Target 24 (6.0 avg)

20 (5.0 avg) Blocked Shots 12 (3.0 avg)

19 (4.8 avg) Corners 17 (4.2 avg)

N/A Attacks 382 (95.5 avg)

N/A Dangerous Attacks 229 (57.2 avg)

71 (17.8 avg) Key Passes 42 (10.5 avg)

2397 (599.2 avg) Passes 2286 (571.5 avg)

2132 (89%) Pass Accuracy 1996 (87%)

59% Ball Possession 58%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)

2 (0.5 avg) Yellow Cards 8 (2.0 avg)

66 (16.5 avg) Tackles 56 (14.0 avg)

34 (8.5 avg) Fouls 58 (14.5 avg)

7 (1.8 avg) Offsides 7 (1.8 avg)

43 (43.0 avg) Duels Won 46 (46.0 avg)

7 (7.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 12 (12.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Paris Saint-Germain

1.5Goals

Under · 0 (0%)
Over · 10 (100%)

7.5Corners

Under · 3 (30%)
Over · 7 (70%)

2.5Goals

Under · 4 (40%)
Over · 6 (60%)

8.5Corners

Under · 3 (30%)
Over · 7 (70%)

3.5Goals

Under · 5 (50%)
Over · 5 (50%)

9.5Corners

Under · 5 (50%)
Over · 5 (50%)

Yes · 4 (40%)
No · 6 (60%)

BTTS

Yes · 6 (60%)
No · 4 (40%)

Roma

1.5Goals

Under · 1 (10%)
Over · 9 (90%)

7.5Corners

Under · 2 (22%)
Over · 7 (78%)

2.5Goals

Under · 2 (20%)
Over · 8 (80%)

8.5Corners

Under · 4 (44%)
Over · 5 (56%)

3.5Goals

Under · 3 (30%)
Over · 7 (70%)

9.5Corners

Under · 5 (56%)
Over · 4 (44%)

Yes · 4 (40%)
No · 6 (60%)

BTTS

Yes · 6 (60%)
No · 4 (40%)

Match Outlook

Paris Saint-Germain sit 1st in the table going into this one, with Roma 20th. Paris Saint-Germain have won 4 of their last 5 without defeat (WWWWD), scoring 21 and conceding 6, and have won 6 of their last 10 at home. Roma have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWWD), scoring 17 and conceding 10, and have won 6 of their last 10 on the road. Paris Saint-Germain are without Achraf Hakimi (ever present) and Marquinhos (ever present), plus 4 other absentees. Roma go in without Devyne Rensch (ever present) and Mile Svilar (ever present), with 2 more on the absentee list. In attack, Ferran Torres (4 goals) leads the way for Paris Saint-Germain and Donyell Malen (8 goals) for Roma. Paris Saint-Germain are clear favourites here (Paris Saint-Germain win 76%, draw 13%, Roma win 11%). The numbers point to an open game with goals at both ends, with 2-1 the most likely score. How Paris Saint-Germain cope without Achraf Hakimi and Marquinhos could decide whether that edge holds.

Paris Saint-Germain Injured Achraf Hakimi ever present
Paris Saint-Germain Injured Marquinhos ever present
Roma Injured Devyne Rensch ever present
Roma Injured Mile Svilar ever present