Ajax
vs
Thun
Thu 26 Nov, 17:45 UTC · Matchday 4 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Ajax
- Thun
Did you know?
- Ajax have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
- Thun have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
- Ajax have outscored their xG by 0.63 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
- Ajax's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
H2H
These two have not met in the Conference League in the stored history, which goes back to 2024/25.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 8 (80%)
- No · 2 (20%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 10 (100%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 8 (80%)
- No · 2 (20%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 10 (100%)
- Yes · 8 (80%)
- No · 2 (20%)
Match Outlook
11th placed Ajax host 20th placed Thun. Ajax come into it in fine form, unbeaten in 5 (WWWWW), scoring 16 and conceding 4, and have won 3 of their last 10 at home. Thun have lost 3 of their last 5 (WWLLL), scoring 10 and conceding 10, and have won 4 of their last 10 on the road. Ajax are without J. Brandt (joint top scorer, 6 goals, 2 assists) and K. Dolberg (ever present), plus 5 other absentees. Thun will be missing F. Saiz (ever present), with 2 more on the absentee list. In attack, T. Arokodare (6 goals) leads the way for Ajax and B. Labeau (5 goals) for Thun. Ajax are clear favourites here (Ajax win 65%, draw 18%, Thun win 17%). The numbers point to an open game with goals at both ends, with 2-1 the most likely score. How Ajax cope without J. Brandt and K. Dolberg could decide whether that edge holds.
-
Ajax Injured J. Brandt joint top scorer, 6 goals, 2 assists
-
Ajax Injured K. Dolberg ever present
-
Thun Injured F. Saiz ever present
Ajax
Previous 10 Matches
WWDDLWWWWW-
05 Nov 26 A Ajax vs
Midtjylland 6–1 W
-
31 Oct 26 H Ajax vs
AZ Alkmaar 1–0 W
-
25 Oct 26 A Ajax vs
Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 W
-
15 Oct 26 A Ajax vs
Hajduk Split 1–2 L
-
10 Oct 26 H Ajax vs
NEC Nijmegen 1–1 D
-
12 Sep 26 A Ajax vs
Fortuna Sittard 5–1 W
Previous 10 Matches
LDLDLWDDWW-
31 Oct 26 H Ajax vs
AZ Alkmaar 1–0 W
-
10 Oct 26 H Ajax vs
NEC Nijmegen 1–1 D
-
05 Sep 26 H Ajax vs
PSV Eindhoven 1–3 L
-
16 Aug 26 H Ajax vs
Heerenveen 2–2 D
-
02 May 26 H Ajax vs
PSV Eindhoven 2–2 D
Previous 10 Matches
WWDWWWLWWW-
05 Nov 26 A Ajax vs
Midtjylland 6–1 W
-
25 Oct 26 A Ajax vs
Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 W
-
15 Oct 26 A Ajax vs
Hajduk Split 1–2 L
-
12 Sep 26 A Ajax vs
Fortuna Sittard 5–1 W
-
09 Aug 26 A Ajax vs
PEC Zwolle 2–0 W
-
17 May 26 A Ajax vs
Heerenveen 0–0 D
-
11 Apr 26 A Ajax vs
Heracles Almelo 3–0 W
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 10)
11th in the league phase · 6 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall* | WWDDLWWWWW | 2.30 |
| Home* | LDLDLWDDWW | 1.30 |
| Away* | WWDWWWLWWW | 2.50 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 56% | 60% | 53% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 3.43 | 3.40 | 3.45 |
| Scored/game | 2.23 | 2.42 | 2.04 |
| Conceded/game | 1.20 | 0.98 | 1.41 |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 53% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 40% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 11% | 10% | 12% |
| xG/game | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.60 |
| xG against/game | 1.30 | 1.14 | 1.46 |
| npxG/game | 1.64 | 1.80 | 1.48 |
| Led at half-time | 50% | 60% | 41% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 20% | 29% | 14% |
Thun
Previous 10 Matches
LLLWLLLLWW-
01 Nov 26 A Thun vs
Lausanne-Sport 5–4 W
-
22 Oct 26 H Thun vs
Hajduk Split 0–1 L
-
12 Sep 26 H Thun vs
Grasshoppers 0–1 L
Previous 10 Matches
WLLLDLLLLW-
22 Oct 26 H Thun vs
Hajduk Split 0–1 L
-
12 Sep 26 H Thun vs
Grasshoppers 0–1 L
-
02 Sep 26 H Thun vs
Lausanne-Sport 0–0 D
-
01 Aug 26 H Thun vs
Young Boys 0–6 L
-
14 May 26 H Thun vs
Young Boys 3–8 L
Previous 10 Matches
LDWLWLWLLW-
01 Nov 26 A Thun vs
Lausanne-Sport 5–4 W
-
30 Aug 26 A Thun vs
St. Gallen 4–3 W
-
17 May 26 A Thun vs
St. Gallen 1–1 D
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 10)
20th in the league phase · 3 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall* | LLLWLLLLWW | 0.90 |
| Home* | WLLLDLLLLW | 0.70 |
| Away* | LDWLWLWLLW | 1.30 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 55% | 50% | 59% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 3.70 | 3.73 | 3.67 |
| Scored/game | 2.02 | 2.00 | 2.04 |
| Conceded/game | 1.68 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 65% | 74% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 12% | 15% |
| Failed to score | 19% | 27% | 11% |
| xG/game | 1.80 | 1.93 | 1.68 |
| xG against/game | 1.74 | 1.92 | 1.57 |
| npxG/game | 1.70 | 1.81 | 1.59 |
| Led at half-time | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 25% | 11% | 43% |
League standings
Ajax are 11th with 6 points. Thun are 20th with 3 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 9 | |
| 4 | Monaco |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Brighton |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 | |
| 14 | Freiburg |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 4 | |
| 16 | Atalanta |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 4 |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 3 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 3 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | |
| 24 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 | |
| 25 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 | |
| 26 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | |
| 27 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 | |
| 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | |
| 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | |
| 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | |
| 31 | Getafe |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for Ajax yet.
Out / doubtful
- A. Gaaei Injured · Knee injury (back 2026-11-30)
- J. Brandt Injured · Unknown (back 2026-11-30)
- K. Dolberg Injured · Knee injury
- O. Edvardsen Injured · Unknown (back 2026-11-20)
- S. Adingra Injured · Overload (back 2026-11-20)
- S. Amrabat Injured · Groin injury (back 2026-12-10)
- V. Tsygankov Injured · Unknown (back 2026-11-30)
No expected XI available for Thun yet.
Out / doubtful
- F. Saiz Injured · Knee surgery
- G. Montolio Injured · Cruciate ligament injury (back 2027-01-10)
- L. Passavant Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-13)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Ajax
- J. Brandt 00– 6 9
- T. Arokodare 012 6 6
- J. Mokio 000 3 9
Thun
- B. Labeau 001 5 9
- F. Dursun 001 3 7
- N. Reichmuth 000 2 10
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Ajax
- O. Gloukh 021 12 8
- J. Brandt 01– 10 9
- A. Ouazane 010 10 4
Thun
- B. Labeau 011 11 9
- N. Reichmuth 013 8 10
- F. Dursun 002 4 7
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Ajax
- O. Gloukh 043 33 8
- T. Arokodare 426 30 6
- A. Ouazane 110 28 4
Thun
- N. Reichmuth 117 28 10
- B. Labeau 033 24 9
- F. Fehr 03– 16 8
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Ajax
- J. Mokio 102 15 9
- L. Rosa 021 12 7
- T. Arokodare 201 8 6
Thun
- N. Reichmuth 132 22 10
- B. Labeau 233 20 9
- J. Bamert 133 19 11
Most tackles
Tackles made
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Duels won
Challenges won
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Ajax
- J. Brandt 33– 34 9
- O. Gloukh 036 23 8
- S. Berghuis ––– 16 6
Thun
- N. Reichmuth 032 19 10
- F. Fehr 00– 16 8
- F. Dursun 002 12 7
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
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1
Thun Team Over 12.5 Fouls 100.0%
-
2
Ajax Over 7.5 Corners in the Match 100.0%
-
3
Thun Over 2.5 Cards in the Match 100.0%
-
4
Ajax To Score 100.0%
-
5
Ajax Team Over 3.5 Shots on Target 90.0%
-
1
TA
T. Arokodare Over 1.5 Shots 90.0%
-
2
TA
T. Arokodare Over 0.5 Shots on Target 90.0%
-
3
JB
J. Bamert Over 0.5 Fouls Committed 90.0%
-
4
MP
M. Paes Over 2.5 Saves 80.0%
-
5
FF
F. Fehr Over 1.5 Tackles 80.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
7 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Atalanta
Monaco
Brighton
Freiburg
Getafe