Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Sun 07 Mar, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Atletico Madrid win · Most likely 62.5%
Draw 22.0%
Celta Vigo win 15.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 56%Avg 50%
Atletico Madrid clean sheet 39%Avg 30%
Celta Vigo clean sheet 13%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 63%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 50%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 82%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 66%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-010.4%
1-010.3%
2-110.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Atletico Madrid
  • Celta Vigo

Did you know?

  • Atletico Madrid's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Celta Vigo have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Atletico Madrid's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Celta Vigo's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
09 May 26 Atletico Madrid 0–1 Celta Vigo
05 Oct 25 Celta Vigo 1–1 Atletico Madrid
15 Feb 25 Atletico Madrid 1–1 Celta Vigo
26 Sep 24 Celta Vigo 0–1 Atletico Madrid
12 May 24 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Celta Vigo
21 Oct 23 Celta Vigo 0–3 Atletico Madrid
12 Feb 23 Celta Vigo 0–1 Atletico Madrid
10 Sep 22 Atletico Madrid 4–1 Celta Vigo
26 Feb 22 Atletico Madrid 2–0 Celta Vigo
15 Aug 21 Celta Vigo 1–2 Atletico Madrid
08 Feb 21 Atletico Madrid 2–2 Celta Vigo
17 Oct 20 Celta Vigo 0–2 Atletico Madrid
07 Jul 20 Celta Vigo 1–1 Atletico Madrid
21 Sep 19 Atletico Madrid 0–0 Celta Vigo
13 Apr 19 Atletico Madrid 2–0 Celta Vigo
01 Sep 18 Celta Vigo 2–0 Atletico Madrid
16meetings
  • Atletico Madrid win · 9 (56%)
  • Draw · 5 (31%)
  • Celta Vigo win · 2 (12%)
Avg. total goals 2.06 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 38% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 31% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 9.62 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 6.00 League avg: 4.63
Atletico Madrid avg. goals 1.44 League avg: 1.36
Celta Vigo avg. goals 0.62 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Celta Vigo 0–3 Atletico Madrid (21 Oct 23).

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Atletico Madrid have won 9 times, Celta Vigo have won 2 times and 5 ended in a draw. Atletico Madrid scored 23 goals and Celta Vigo scored 10 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 9 May 2026, was won 1-0 by Celta Vigo, away at Atletico Madrid. Celta Vigo are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 16 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Atletico Madrid kept 8 clean sheets and Celta Vigo kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Atletico Madrid Celta Vigo
19 (2.1 avg) Goals 8 (1.0 avg)
158 (17.6 avg) Total Shots 79 (9.9 avg)
58 (6.4 avg) Shots on Target 26 (3.2 avg)
48 (5.3 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (2.2 avg)
57 (6.3 avg) Corners 25 (3.1 avg)
1054 (117.1 avg) Attacks 808 (101.0 avg)
507 (56.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 377 (47.1 avg)
127 (14.1 avg) Key Passes 55 (6.9 avg)
5321 (591.2 avg) Passes 4090 (511.2 avg)
4692 (88%) Pass Accuracy 3576 (87%)
60% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Atletico Madrid Celta Vigo
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
20 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.9 avg)
150 (16.7 avg) Tackles 116 (14.5 avg)
110 (12.2 avg) Fouls 96 (12.0 avg)
18 (2.0 avg) Offsides 24 (3.0 avg)
427 (47.4 avg) Duels Won 313 (39.1 avg)
93 (10.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 53 (6.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Atletico Madrid

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Celta Vigo

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)