PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior

Sat 08 May, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 32 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

PSV Eindhoven win · Most likely 78.5%
Draw 13.5%
Excelsior win 8.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 65%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 93%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 80%Avg 61%
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet 33%Avg 25%
Excelsior clean sheet 4%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 80%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 70%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 49%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 27%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

3-18.0%
2-17.5%
3-07.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • PSV Eindhoven
  • Excelsior

Did you know?

  • PSV Eindhoven's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • PSV Eindhoven have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • PSV Eindhoven have outscored their xG by 0.82 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • PSV Eindhoven have not lost to Excelsior in their last 7 meetings.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Aug 26 Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven
10 Jan 26 PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Excelsior
27 Sep 25 Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven
02 Apr 24 Excelsior 0–2 PSV Eindhoven
13 Jan 24 PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Excelsior
08 Apr 23 PSV Eindhoven 4–0 Excelsior
28 Aug 22 Excelsior 1–6 PSV Eindhoven
7meetings
  • PSV Eindhoven win · 7 (100%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Excelsior win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 4.14 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 86% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 71% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 43% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 1.29 League avg: 3.14
PSV Eindhoven avg. goals 3.43 League avg: 1.61
Excelsior avg. goals 0.71 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: Excelsior 1–6 PSV Eindhoven (28 Aug 22).

PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 7 times, Excelsior have not won and none ended in a draw. PSV Eindhoven scored 24 goals and Excelsior scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Aug 2026, was won 2-1 by PSV Eindhoven, away at Excelsior. PSV Eindhoven have won each of the last 7 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 7 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. PSV Eindhoven kept 2 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

PSV Eindhoven
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
  • Crosses and headers
Excelsior
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    60% 1st of 18 46% 14th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.13 xG a shot 1st of 18 0.11 xG a shot 11th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    19% of xG 10th of 18 26% of xG 3rd of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 1st of 18 17% of shots 8th of 18

Where they differ

  • PSV Eindhoven see much more of the ball than Excelsior, 60% against 46%.
  • PSV Eindhoven wait for better chances than Excelsior, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.11.
  • PSV Eindhoven go more through the air than Excelsior, 21% of shots against 17%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

PSV Eindhoven Excelsior
33 (3.3 avg) Goals 12 (1.2 avg)
195 (19.5 avg) Total Shots 88 (8.8 avg)
74 (7.4 avg) Shots on Target 29 (2.9 avg)
46 (4.6 avg) Blocked Shots 28 (2.8 avg)
67 (6.7 avg) Corners 30 (3.0 avg)
808 (89.8 avg) Attacks 706 (78.4 avg)
495 (55.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 325 (36.1 avg)
144 (14.4 avg) Key Passes 62 (6.2 avg)
5571 (557.1 avg) Passes 3863 (386.3 avg)
4907 (88%) Pass Accuracy 3055 (79%)
59% Ball Possession 41%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

PSV Eindhoven Excelsior
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (1.4 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 137 (13.7 avg)
98 (9.8 avg) Fouls 113 (11.3 avg)
19 (2.1 avg) Offsides 6 (0.7 avg)
379 (37.9 avg) Duels Won 407 (40.7 avg)
92 (9.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 146 (14.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

PSV Eindhoven

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Excelsior

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)