PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen

Sun 16 May, 12:30 UTC · Matchweek 33 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

PSV Eindhoven win · Most likely 68.9%
Draw 17.5%
NEC Nijmegen win 13.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 69%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 91%Avg 85%
Over 2.5 goals 77%Avg 61%
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet 27%Avg 25%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet 6%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 86%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 78%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 63%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 41%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.4%
3-17.7%
2-06.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • PSV Eindhoven
  • NEC Nijmegen

Did you know?

  • PSV Eindhoven's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • PSV Eindhoven have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • PSV Eindhoven have outscored their xG by 0.82 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • NEC Nijmegen have gone 8 matches without a win.

H2H

10meetings
  • PSV Eindhoven win · 7 (70%)
  • Draw · 1 (10%)
  • NEC Nijmegen win · 2 (20%)
Avg. total goals 4.60 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 90% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 70% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 11.10 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 2.70 League avg: 3.14
PSV Eindhoven avg. goals 2.90 League avg: 1.61
NEC Nijmegen avg. goals 1.70 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: PSV Eindhoven 4–0 NEC Nijmegen (16 Sep 23).

PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 7 times, NEC Nijmegen have won 2 times and 1 ended in a draw. PSV Eindhoven scored 29 goals and NEC Nijmegen scored 17 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Mar 2026, was won 3-2 by NEC Nijmegen, away at PSV Eindhoven. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 10 and 9 had over 2.5 goals. PSV Eindhoven kept 3 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

PSV Eindhoven
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
  • Crosses and headers
NEC Nijmegen
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    60% 1st of 18 57% 2nd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.13 xG a shot 1st of 18 0.11 xG a shot 13th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    19% of xG 11th of 18 18% of xG 15th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 1st of 18 17% of shots 9th of 18

Where they differ

  • PSV Eindhoven wait for better chances than NEC Nijmegen, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.11.
  • PSV Eindhoven go more through the air than NEC Nijmegen, 21% of shots against 17%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

PSV Eindhoven NEC Nijmegen
33 (3.3 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
195 (19.5 avg) Total Shots 154 (15.4 avg)
74 (7.4 avg) Shots on Target 45 (4.5 avg)
46 (4.6 avg) Blocked Shots 41 (4.1 avg)
67 (6.7 avg) Corners 57 (5.7 avg)
808 (89.8 avg) Attacks 892 (89.2 avg)
495 (55.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 512 (51.2 avg)
144 (14.4 avg) Key Passes 128 (12.8 avg)
5571 (557.1 avg) Passes 4890 (489.0 avg)
4907 (88%) Pass Accuracy 4009 (82%)
59% Ball Possession 59%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

PSV Eindhoven NEC Nijmegen
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (1.4 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 158 (15.8 avg)
98 (9.8 avg) Fouls 106 (10.6 avg)
19 (2.1 avg) Offsides 19 (1.9 avg)
379 (37.9 avg) Duels Won 483 (48.3 avg)
92 (9.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 148 (14.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

PSV Eindhoven

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

NEC Nijmegen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)